Elliott Wave Update ~ 7 March 2025

The count is very good. This Elliott wave structure has many good things going for it:

  1. (Red = Intermediate) Waves (1) to (5) and (2) to (4) perfectly connect on a very precise parallel channel trendline(s).
  2. The subwaves are all there.
  3. Wave (5) seemingly ends in an ending diagonal triangle (EDT).
  4. The “proof” of the ending triangle is that prices collapsed to beyond the starting point of the EDT. That occurred today.
  5. Corrective waves (2) and (4) alternate in form. Flat vs. zigzag. This is a good EW structure trait.
  6. Peak RSI on the medium and long-term charts is where we expect it to be; at the subwave 3 of 3 or wave 3 in general with declining RSI strength as the wave structure advances to peak.
  7. Prices bounced perfectly at the long term lower trendline. This could be the wave 1 down low. We shall see if a significant bounce occurs. It would be the logical spot.
  8. Additionally, prices reached a significant horizontal support line. A logical bounce spot.

All in all, a very nice structure. And we are going with it!

Long term count:

Squiggle count seems OK.

Conclusion: The overall wave structure from a long term, medium term, and short term seems to indicate a long-term trend change. In the short term the structure supports a wave 2 bounce.